The public opportunity record · 2026
The numbers behind 1,000 AI business cases.
Every case names a potential buyer, describes the product, sets out a revenue model and gives Turwin's starting price for the first production version. Use the catalog to explore a market you know and inspect the assumptions behind an idea.
One square for each public case, grouped by sector. The 100 high-conviction cases include 20 source-reviewed briefs, shown as the largest squares. These are Turwin research categories; they do not establish customer demand or commercial results.
- Business cases
- 1,000
- High-conviction cases
- 100
- Source-reviewed briefs
- 20
Production-build pricing
See what the starting prices cover.
Each public price covers the business definition, product design, application, AI system, data work, testing, deployment and owner handover for one product. The final scope, fee, delivery dates and rights are set by a separate signed agreement.
- From
- $135K
- Average
- $356K
- To begin
- ≈35%
Three build profiles produce six public price bands. Each profile has two public starting-price bands; your proposal confirms the scope and fee. The “to begin” payment is part of the production price and covers the signed Build Definition and mobilization.
$355.7 million in combined starting prices. This is the sum of the 1,000 listed starting prices. It is not booked work, Turwin revenue, a valuation or a valuation of the underlying ideas.
Assumptions you can inspect
What would have to happen to reach $6.45 billion in annual revenue?
Modeled annual venture revenue. The model assumes half the portfolio never launches. It divides the other half among operating companies, growth companies and a small breakout group. It is a scenario, not present revenue or a valuation. The split shows shares, not predictions about named cases.
- Conservative
- $2.2B
- Base
- $6.45B
- Upside
- $15.75B
How to use the record
Read the case before deciding what to build.
Start with the buyer, the job the product would do and the proposed revenue model. Then read the evidence, risks and starting investment. The useful question is whether those assumptions hold in the market you know. Deeper research, system design and delivery planning remain in the private brief.
Stage
02Input
1,000 casesOutput
A base-case modelCondition
A scenario, not a valuationThe market case
We assume half of these never launch. Here is the model for the rest.
This is an illustrative scenario, not current revenue, a valuation or a forecast for any named case. The shares are assumptions, not measured success rates. For broad market context only, the total equals 0.45% of Gartner’s projected 2026 software spending and 1.58% of IDC’s projected 2026 global IT spending on AI.
| Outcome | Share | Ventures | Annual revenue each | Portfolio contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Does not launchThe opportunity is never financed, commissioned or taken into market. | 50% | 500 | $0 | $0 |
| Operating businessA focused company with repeat buyers reaches $3M in annual revenue. | 35% | 350 | $3,000,000 | $1,050,000,000 |
| Growth ventureThe company sells across more customers or markets and reaches $20M in annual revenue. | 12% | 120 | $20,000,000 | $2,400,000,000 |
| Breakout ventureThe company leads its category and reaches $100M in annual revenue. | 3% | 30 | $100,000,000 | $3,000,000,000 |
| Base case | 100% | 1,000 | Mixed | $6,450,000,000 |
- 01 · Conservative$2,200,000,000
Most cases stay unbuilt. The ones that launch reach $2.2B in combined annual revenue.
- 02 · Base$6,450,000,000
Half never launch. The other half split across operating, growth and breakout outcomes.
- 03 · Upside$15,750,000,000
More cases launch, and more of them reach $20M or $100M a year.
Record
SectorsInput
Public pricesOutput
Build value by sectorCondition
Exact sumsThe twelve sectors
See how the portfolio is spread across twelve sectors.
Every dollar below comes from a public opportunity and its starting investment.
| Sector | Opportunities | Combined build value | High-profit cases |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01Vertical SaaS | 40 | $12.2M | 20 |
| 02Consulting & Services | 42 | $12.9M | 20 |
| 03Developer Tools & Infrastructure | 164 | $58M | 46 |
| 04Content, Media & Marketing | 60 | $18.5M | 24 |
| 05Creative & Design | 49 | $15.3M | 15 |
| 06Healthcare & Life Sciences | 111 | $45.7M | 26 |
| 07Legal & Compliance | 178 | $74.6M | 33 |
| 08Finance & Fintech | 67 | $27M | 21 |
| 09Education & Training | 87 | $27M | 29 |
| 10Ecommerce, Retail & Local | 51 | $15.2M | 16 |
| 11Ops, Automation & Agents | 107 | $36.7M | 31 |
| 12Prosumer & Niche | 44 | $12.6M | 4 |
Record
SourcesInput
Public publishersOutput
Every outside numberCondition
Open each sourceResearch record
Every outside number has a source you can open.
These forecasts describe broad markets. They do not validate Turwin's revenue scenarios or establish the addressable market for a particular product. Turwin's combined build value comes from the 1,000 public prices; the market case comes from the assumptions shown above.
- S01Gartner
Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 10.8% in 2026, Totaling $6.15 Trillion
$1.43 trillion in projected worldwide software spending for 2026The broad software-market denominator for the portfolio comparison.
February 2026Open source - S02IDC
AI Is Ready. Enterprises Are Not. Vendors Need to Fix It.
$409 billion in projected global IT spending on AI for 2026The AI-spending denominator for the portfolio comparison.
June 2026Open source - S03U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
National employment and wage data by occupation
$148,100 mean annual wage and $71.20 mean hourly wage for U.S. software developersA public labor-market reference for the senior engineering work inside a production venture.
May 2025 dataOpen source
Put an idea in context
Start with a problem you know well.
Choose an opportunity, read the case and consider what would need to be true for it to work in your market. The $99 diagnostic reviews the public evidence, the strongest objection and the next useful test for one idea and one decision. Customer research, demand validation, technical performance testing and a build are outside its scope.